Tallahassee, Florida

New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER, HYDROLOGY

• Hazardous boating conditions continue for the offshore waters, winds and seas will increase across most of the remainder of the marine zones through Monday.
• Rain returns today with isolated thunderstorms possible closer to the coast. Another round of rain is expected to arrive Wednesday and Thursday.

A shortwave moving across the northeastern Gulf today into tomorrow will allow rain chances to increase across the FL Panhandle, SE Alabama and coast FL Big Bend. Given the prevailing northeast to easterly surface flow across the region, this shortwave looks to induce showers and possibly a couple storms mostly along our coastal areas and offshore, where instability looks to be available. Otherwise, areas inland should expect mostly light to moderate rain showers with an isolated thunderstorm possible.

Daytime highs will generally be in the mid to upper 70s with overnight lows generally in the low to mid 60s.

Ridging then prevails across eastern CONUS Monday afternoon through midweek before the next trough and associated frontal system looks to approach the region from the west. Rain chances will once again be in the forecast Wednesday and Thursday before drying out this weekend.

Generally expect daytime highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s with overnight lows generally in the 60s through Thursday before dipping into the 50s Friday and Saturday mornings post-frontal.

Mainly prevailing MVFR cigs are expected this TAF cycle with showers across parts of the Tri-State area and east winds. An improvement to VFR appears possible at TLH/VLD later this aftn. Confidence is too low for mentions of thunder, but trends will be monitored for that potential invof ECP.

Easterly winds will be producing Advisory level conditions through the rest of the weekend, as a Gulf low traverses east and over the peninsula by Monday. Winds and seas will diminish following the passage of the low pressure system, returning to more moderate breezes by Tuesday. A wind shift to southerly and southwesterly is forecast by midweek as another frontal system approaches, however significant impacts are not expected at the moment.

The main story will be the chance for light rain showers and possible thunder for the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend today. The scattered showers are expected to be quick in forward progression, leading to a low chance for an actual wetting rain. Transport winds will be moderate at around 15-20 mph from the east through Monday. Dispersions will be fair to good during the afternoon hours each day through the period. Winds will return to northeasterly for the start of the work week.

Generally around an inch of rainfall is expected across the region over the next week, with isolated higher amounts likely along the coast today as an area of low pressure moves across the northeastern Gulf. There are currently no flooding concerns.

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

Tallahassee   78  64  82  66 /  30  20  20   0
Panama City   77  64  81  65 /  60  20   0   0
Dothan        74  60  79  63 /  60  10   0   0
Albany        74  60  79  62 /  20  10   0   0
Valdosta      78  63  81  64 /  20  30  20   0
Cross City    80  66  82  67 /  50  50  30   0
Apalachicola  76  66  78  67 /  60  30  10   0

FL

High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for FLZ115.

GA

None.

AL

None.

GM

Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ Monday for GMZ751-752-755-770-772-775.