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Area Forecast Discussion · GYX

Gray/Portland, Maine

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National Weather Service - Gray/Portland, ME, 1 Weather Lane, Gray, ME 04039, United States of America

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Product header AFDGYX·FXUS61 KGYX 011112
Title
Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by
National Weather Service Gray ME
AWIPS ID
AFDGYX
WMO heading
FXUS61 KGYX 011112
Sequence
492

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No major changes were needed for the morning update as a quiet weather weekend continues. Just blended in the latest observations to the going forecast and updated the aviation forecast.

KEY MESSAGES

1. Temperatures will average above normal through the middle of the week with mostly dry weather. Precipitation chances increase towards the end of the week.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION... High pressure near overhead will allow for cold morning this morning with temperatures in the mid 20s to low teens. Temperatures will rebound into the 50s today under sunny skies as high pressure settles south of the area. Rising heights and modest warm air advection will continue the warming trend into Monday when much of the area will see highs in the 60s and southern locations pushing 70F.

A cold front over SE Canada will attempt to push southward into the area Tuesday that will bring more in the way of clouds and low chances for showers, mainly across the north. Highs will likely drop a few degrees from Monday`s readings, but will remain mild in the 50s and 60s. This front will likely lift north of the area Wednesday leading to mostly dry conditions and highs creeping upwards into the 60s. Troughing over the central US will migrate east through the second half of the week while models suggest the trough will weaken as it does so. Nevertheless, this trough will advect moisture into the region with PoPs increasing Thursday into Friday. While a multi model consensus suggest the Northeast will see some precipitation these days and going into the weekend, confidence is low in the evolution of any low pressure systems or fronts that will drive the precipitation. The pattern looks to remain unsettled going into early next week.

AVIATION

12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

Through tonight: VFR expected with light and variable winds.

Outlook... Monday-Monday night: Mainly VFR conditions with upslope showers around the mountains.

Tuesday-Tuesday night: MVFR ceilings possible, especially in the mountains. More widespread showers possible.

Wednesday-Thursday: VFR conditions expected.

MARINE

Winds and seas remain below SCA thresholds through the middle of the week. Flow will generally be SW today through Monday night with high pressure centered south of the waters. Winds turn more southerly Wednesday into Thursday as high pressure moves east and an area of low pressure moves into the Great Lakes region. SCA conditions may become possible late in the week as low pressure moves east of the Great Lakes.

GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ME

None.

NH

None.

MARINE

None.

DISCUSSION...Hargrove/Schroeter

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Forecast discussions

Each National Weather Service forecast office writes an Area Forecast Discussion: the forecasters' own account of the reasoning behind the forecast. It says what the weather models show and where they disagree, how confident the forecasters are, and what could change.

Offices issue one at least twice a day, early morning and afternoon, and update it as things change. It's written in sections, usually a synopsis, the near and long term, and the outlook for pilots, mariners and fire weather, ending with any watches, warnings and advisories in effect. Forecasters write in a shorthand of their own; the NWS glossary explains most of it.

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With your AI assistant

The offices, their discussions, forecasts and alerts are also an MCP server, so an assistant like Claude can read them for you. It needs no sign-in and changes nothing. Its address is 

https://wxd.app/mcp
  • In Claude, under Settings, then Connectors, add a custom connector with that address.
  • In Claude Code, run claude mcp add --transport http forecast-discussions https://wxd.app/mcp.
  • In another client, add a server reached over streamable HTTP at that address.

Then ask, say, what the Tucson office thinks of the weekend.

An experiment by Christopher Green. Not affiliated with the National Weather Service.

The discussions are the forecast offices' own, as published by the National Weather Service.

Set in these faces, each under the SIL Open Font License 1.1:

  • Lato by Łukasz Dziedzic, for the text
  • Bricolage Grotesque by the Bricolage Grotesque Project Authors, for headings and the wordmark
  • DM Mono by the DM Mono Project Authors, for what the offices write

Icons from Heroicons and, for the weather, Phosphor Icons, both under the MIT License.