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Area Forecast Discussion · ALY

Albany, New York

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1400 Washington Ave, Albany, NY, United States of America

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Product header AFDALY·FXUS61 KALY 011125
Title
Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by
National Weather Service Albany NY
AWIPS ID
AFDALY
WMO heading
FXUS61 KALY 011125
Sequence
811

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No significant changes with this forecast update.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Mostly dry weather is expected through Wednesday, with increasing chances for rain later in the week. Above normal temperatures are expected through the upcoming week.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1

High pressure, centered over the region this morning, will slowly shift eastward and meander off the East Coast through early this week. In addition, upper level ridging will slowly build northward through midweek. This will allow for generally dry conditions to continue across the area. A warm front will lift northward across the area on Tuesday which may bring a few showers to areas north and west of the Capital District; otherwise, no precipitation is expected through Wednesday. Rising 850 hPa temperatures (to +1-2 STDEV) will bring a period of above normal temperatures beginning today and continue through most of the upcoming week. There continues to be increasing chances for some rain by the end of the week. While the overall synoptic pattern remains a bit uncertain, an approaching upper-level trough or closed low from the west should drag a cold front across the region sometime Thursday into Friday which will be accompanied by a period of rain. In addition, some additional moisture from a low pressure system off the East Coast may also get advected into the region during this time. Nonetheless, this appears to be the next best chance for a more widespread rainfall and finally bring an end to the prolonged dry stretch for many areas.

AVIATION

12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

Through 12z Mon...VFR conditions are expected through the upcoming TAF period. Mainly cirrus clouds are expected through this afternoon with increasing mid-level clouds tonight, mainly for KALB/KPSF/KGFL. Winds will become variable at 5 kt or less today trending light to calm again tonight.

Outlook

Monday to Wednesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Thursday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of RA. Thursday Night: High Operational Impact. Likely RA. Friday: High Operational Impact. Likely RA

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT

None.

NY

None.

MA

None.

VT

None.

DISCUSSION...33AVIATION...33

Help & About

Forecast discussions

Each National Weather Service forecast office writes an Area Forecast Discussion: the forecasters' own account of the reasoning behind the forecast. It says what the weather models show and where they disagree, how confident the forecasters are, and what could change.

Offices issue one at least twice a day, early morning and afternoon, and update it as things change. It's written in sections, usually a synopsis, the near and long term, and the outlook for pilots, mariners and fire weather, ending with any watches, warnings and advisories in effect. Forecasters write in a shorthand of their own; the NWS glossary explains most of it.

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With your AI assistant

The offices, their discussions, forecasts and alerts are also an MCP server, so an assistant like Claude can read them for you. It needs no sign-in and changes nothing. Its address is 

https://wxd.app/mcp
  • In Claude, under Settings, then Connectors, add a custom connector with that address.
  • In Claude Code, run claude mcp add --transport http forecast-discussions https://wxd.app/mcp.
  • In another client, add a server reached over streamable HTTP at that address.

Then ask, say, what the Tucson office thinks of the weekend.

An experiment by Christopher Green. Not affiliated with the National Weather Service.

The discussions are the forecast offices' own, as published by the National Weather Service.

Set in these faces, each under the SIL Open Font License 1.1:

  • Lato by Łukasz Dziedzic, for the text
  • Bricolage Grotesque by the Bricolage Grotesque Project Authors, for headings and the wordmark
  • DM Mono by the DM Mono Project Authors, for what the offices write

Icons from Heroicons and, for the weather, Phosphor Icons, both under the MIT License.