Midland/Odessa, Texas

New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM

• Patchy fog will develop over portions of southeast New Mexico and West Texas early this morning.
• Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms may clip portions of southeast New Mexico late Sunday night. A storm or two may be strong to marginally severe, capable of producing strong and gusty winds.
• Increasing southerly winds shifting to westerly Monday, with strong westerly winds (40-50 mph, gusts 65 mph) over the Guadalupes/Delawares. A High Wind Watch is in effect.

Current observations show extensive low clouds across the area once again. Most visibilities are good though fog is becoming more dense in the northwestern Permian Basin and southeastern New Mexico. It is still too sparse to issue a Dense Fog Advisory but will continue to monitor. The low clouds will hang in for much if not all of the day, keeping temperatures near normal. An approaching trough will cause isolated convection to form in SE NM where one or two storms could become severe, though the severe threat will be low.

Winds veer from a more westerly direction tonight ahead of the trough, pushing moisture to the east and allowing for clearing skies. Winds will increase, especially in the Guadalupe Mountains where a High Wind Watch remains in effect for Monday. Breezy to windy conditions are expected in the lower elevations and downsloping will push temps back up above normal.

The trough pushes east on Tuesday sending a weak cold front into the CWA. Temperatures drop back down only to near normal where they will continue through the end of the week. The upper pattern is zonal and any systems moving across the country will be weak and fast moving moving from west to east. The lack of any systems moving down out of Canada prevents any strong cold air intrusion for our forecast period.

Hennig

Models insist that current VFR/MVFR conditions will deteriorate over the next 6 hours to IFR conditions, perhaps LIFR and near mins along the Pecos River. These TAFs are slightly more optimistic but will closely monitor for dense fog developing. Improving conditions expected after 15-18Z.

Hennig

Big Spring               76  64  81  55 /  20  10   0   0
Carlsbad                 78  61  75  52 /   0  10   0   0
Dryden                   77  63  82  60 /   0   0   0  10
Fort Stockton            82  64  84  55 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           74  57  66  47 /   0  20   0   0
Hobbs                    74  60  74  50 /  10  10   0   0
Marfa                    76  56  76  48 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport     75  64  79  54 /  10   0   0   0
Odessa                   76  64  79  54 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                     79  63  79  54 /   0   0   0   0

TX

High Wind Watch from Monday morning through Monday evening for Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains.

NM

High Wind Watch from Monday morning through Monday evening for Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County.